Wells Fargo Finds Increased Optimism

The drop in oil prices is a budget boon and could be responsible for the 21-point rise in Wells Fargo’s Investor and Retirement Optimism Index.

Investor optimism soared in the first quarter of 2015 to +69, according to the Wells Fargo/Gallup Investor and Retirement Optimism Index, the highest level since 2007. 

The increase likely stems from a combination of greater optimism about personal finances as well as the economy, and is the biggest quarterly improvement in two years. Both non-retired and retired investors expressed higher levels of optimism. Wells Fargo uses the survey information to shape the direction of its products and services. “It gives us insight into perceptions and attitudes,” says Joe Ready, director of Wells Fargo Institutional Retirement and Trust.

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A majority of 401(k) participants feel positive about the information they receive from their employers related to making informed investing/saving decisions: 31% rate the experience as “excellent,” and 43% rate it as “good.” One-quarter gave their employer a lesser rating on employee financial support, including 19% saying their employer does only a “fair” job and 6% saying a “poor” one.

When asked which of five aspects of investing they most need advice on, 32% of 401(k) investors want help knowing which funds to invest in, and 29% want help knowing whether to reallocate their investments according to changing conditions. Lower on the list is deciding how much to contribute (8%), understanding the tax advantages of various plans (4%) and tapping their retirement money before retirement (1%).

Although workplace retirement plans are designed to be self-directed, a key takeaway for advisers is that investors need and want one-on-one help, Ready says. “People want to talk to somebody. They want professional financial help that can give them insight about their personal situations; they want someone to guide them through a thoughtful process.”

Among the most interesting points was the rise in confidence in the stock market. “There has been a shift in the percentage of those who think it is a good time to invest in general,” Ready tells PLANADVISER. “A clear optimism is showing.” Fifty-four percent of those surveyed said the stock market is a good way to grow wealth. Also noteworthy was the 41% of respondents who said buying a home is a good way to grow wealth.

Home, Sweet Home

A majority of respondents (67%) said they would not use their home to fund their retirement. “The data is pretty clear that tapping home equity as a retirement strategy is not a choice that a majority of investors plan on making,” Ready says. “Saving and investing seem to be the predominant choice for retirement.”

Ready says it is difficult to speculate on this reluctance but named two possibilities, perhaps in combination: the belief that equity has not risen as much as the homeowner thought, or “I don’t want to move.”

The recent drop in oil prices is a definite factor in the improved economic mood of survey respondents. Investors estimated that lower fuel prices have been saving them an average $108 per month in recent months. The estimated monthly savings is $68 among retirees and $117 among non-retirees.

Most investors (68%) say the savings is helping their household budget to some extent, with about a third (32%) saying it has not made much difference. Non-retirees are feeling a greater boost from the savings, with 71% saying it helps either a lot or a little. Only about half of retirees, on the other hand (58%), say it has made little difference.

Savings from lower fuel prices are helping to improve personal balance sheets. More than a third of investors (37%) say they are using the money to pay down bills, and 33% are putting the extra dollars into savings. Only one-quarter say they making additional purchases with the money. Retired investors (32%) are likelier than non-retired investors (22%) to say they are using their gas and oil savings to spend more on other things.

“One of the best things we can do is help people take inventory of their financial situation and finances,” Ready says. “Our industry is moving more towards a financial wellness view.”

A critical message for participants, he says, is to try to get them to find $50 or $75 to get started saving, or to increase deferrals to their retirement plan.

Finding Discretionary Funds

“We can also help with crafting a message around when people are saving money, on things like the gas savings, to help them see that while it might not have been discretionary, now they do have savings that they can use elsewhere,” Ready says.

Investors are more upbeat about the financial markets, but still cautious about stocks as a retirement investment vehicle. Nearly six in 10 investors, 58%, believe it’s a good time to invest in the financial markets, similar to the 56% who said this at the end of 2014, but up from 52% last July. The trend toward investment optimism is a definite turnaround from several quarters in 2011 and 2012, when most survey respondents said it was not a good time to invest.

More than half of investors (56%) say they have seen a noticeable increase in their retirement account values as the stock market has increased this past year, up from 44% two years ago.

Among non-retired investors, 76% say they are “very confident” or “somewhat confident” they will have enough savings for retirement at the time they choose to retire, up from 62% recorded two years ago. However, when all investors were asked if they have “confidence in the stock market as a place to save and invest for retirement,” a minority (40%) say they have a “great deal” or “quite a lot” of confidence, versus 60% who say only “a little” or “none at all.”

An overwhelming theme of risk management is evident in the survey, Ready says. “The good news is that investors are not chasing returns,” he points out. “Hopefully, this also shows that they are heeding the messages about diversification and staying the course.”

The Wells Fargo/Gallup Investor and Retirement Optimism Index of 1,011 investors was conducted between January 30 and February 9. The median age of the retiree is 69, and the non-retiree is 47.

Retirement Savings Sacrificed for College Costs

A study finds about half of parents are willing to delay retirement or dip into retirement savings to pay for children’s education.

Forty-nine percent of parents polled for T. Rowe Price’s Family Financial Tradeoffs Survey agree with the statement “I’d be willing to delay my retirement to pay for my kids’ college education.”

In addition, 51% agree with the statement “I’d be willing to get a second or part-time job to pay for my kids’ college education,” and 53% of parents agree with the statement “I would rather dip into my retirement savings to pay for my kids’ college education than have them take on student loans.”

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But, it’s not only their children’s education for which they are sacrificing retirement; 44% of the parents who used student loans to pay their own college costs said these repayments have impacted their ability to save for retirement. The survey finds most respondents (58%) have dipped into retirement savings to pay for something else. The top item was debt (20%), followed by day-to-day living expenses (13%), children’s education (12%) and covering expenses while unemployed (12%).

Twenty-seven percent indicated they have cashed out a retirement account from a previous job. The most common reason given was that it was needed for day-to-day expenses (37%), followed by “I was young and didn’t know any better” (29%). Twenty-one percent put it toward student loans and college expenses.

More than half (52%) of survey respondents are willing to take on $25,000 or more in debt to pay for their children’s college education, with 23% willing to take on more than $75,000 and 9% saying they would borrow “whatever it takes.” Forty-seven percent are willing to let their kids take on monthly student loan payments of $300 or more, and 32% are willing to let their kids take on $500 or more, with 77% saying they are at least somewhat likely to help their kids pay off student loans.

T. Rowe Price found 45% of parents who are saving for their children’s college indicated that they are using a regular savings account to do so. Thirty-one percent said that they are using a 529 college savings plan account, but nearly as many (30%) said they are using 401(k)s to save for their children’s college. When asked why they weren’t using a 529 account to save for college, 28% said they do not know what it is.

Even though contributions to a 529 account can be withdrawn anytime for any reason, 25% cited lack of access as a reason for not saving in a 529 account. Additionally, 15% mistakenly thought that saving in a 529 account meant that they wouldn’t be able to get financial aid, and they cited this as a reason they were not using one.

Sixty-eight percent of Millennials (respondents between ages 21 and 34) report being overwhelmed by financial pressures, compared with 58% of Gen Xers (respondents between ages 35 and 50). Of the Millennials who used loans to pay for college, 70% of them think they took out too much debt to pay for college, compared with 55% of Gen Xers.

Parents of Millennials were twice as likely to tap retirement savings to cover college. Of the Millennials whose parents helped pay for their college, 18% indicated that their parents had taken money from a retirement savings account to cover their college costs. However, only 9% of Gen Xers whose parents helped cover college costs said the same.

Millennials are more inclined to follow their parents’ example: 62% of this generation would rather dip into retirement savings to pay for college than have their kids take on student loans, compared with 44% of Gen Xers. Additionally, 34% of Millennials indicated they are using a 401(k) plan to save for college, compared with 25% of Gen Xers.

Among all survey respondents, 49% agree with the statement “I don’t think I will ever retire.” Sixty-four percent of Millennials believe they are more likely to win the lottery than receive any money from Social Security, compared with 49% of Gen Xers.

Nearly half (49%) of Millennials report losing sleep worrying about how they will pay for retirement, compared with 37% of Gen Xers. Nearly two-thirds (65%) of Millennials have taken money from retirement savings to pay for something else, versus 51% of Gen Xers.

T. Rowe Price’s Family Financial Tradeoffs Survey was fielded between December 18 and December 29, with a sample size of 2,000 parents of children ages 15 and younger, including a 50/50 quota for gender and age groups (i.e., Millennials and Gen Xers). Full results may be downloaded from here.

 

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