Emerging Market Funds
It would stand to reason that fund performance would drive
assets flows, yet emerging market funds bucked this trend last year, according
to data from Strategic Insight. Fifteen of the top 17 emerging market fund
categories had negative returns in 2015—and only four of them had net outflows.
Overall, the average return for the 17 categories was -8.88%, yet they had net
inflows of $538.0 billion, which brought their total net assets to $2.71
trillion.
However, investors tended to take notice of the two
worst-performing emerging market categories. Ranking No. 1 worst, Brazilian
funds lost nearly one-third of their value (27.72%) and, consequently, had net
outflows of $40.56 billion, reducing total assets to $565.6 billion. With an
average return of -17.62% in 2015, funds focused on Turkey were the next
worst-performing category, and these funds saw $127.60 million in outflows,
reducing total assets to $12.80 billion.
Examination of all fund categories with negative returns
last year shows they bucked the trend, with largely strong inflows. Peru
delivered the third-worst performance, -14.09%, and had $2 million in inflows
for total assets of $5.91 billion.
Next up were Malaysian funds, which saw their value drop by
13.45%. Nonetheless, these funds still took in $3.55 billion so that, at
year-end, their assets totaled $51.89 billion. Funds focused on Mexico lost
12.34% yet attracted $825 million to end the year with total assets of $107.78
billion.
Chilean funds took a 13.06% performance nosedive, yet they
attracted a sound $597.0 million in assets to close 2015 with a total of $41.18
billion invested. Indonesian funds saw -11.73% returns yet attracted an astounding $2.90 billion in assets to end the year with $18.63 billion.
Polish funds declined by 11.03% in value, but reaped $498.70 million in assets
for a year-end total of $33.27 billion.
Thai funds, as well, saw very strong inflows despite losing
10.51% in value; they took in $12.44 billion in assets to end the year with a
total of $111.66 billion. Hungarian funds were less popular, when it came to
performance/flows. They lost 8.89% in value and suffered $2.55 billion in
outflows to lower their total assets to $15.70 billion. Funds invested in the
Czech Republic lost 7.76% of value yet attracted $777 million to boost their
total assets to $6.46 billion.
Russian funds were also net losers when it came to
performance/flows in 2015. They lost 6.28% of their value, saw $306 million
walk out the door and ended the year with $8.08 billion.
2015 Net Flows Into and Performance of Emerging Market Funds
Market | Total Assets $mm | Net Flows $mm | Average Total Return |
Brazil | $565,552 | -$40,562.40 | -27.72% |
Chile | $41,177 | $597.00 | -13.06% |
China | $1,277,020 | $504,500.90 | 18.94% |
Czech Republic | $6,455 | $776.60 | -7.76% |
Hungary | $15,697 | -$2,553.00 | -8.89% |
India | $197,837 | $34,703.20 | 0.95% |
Indonesia | $18,632 | $2,901.40 | -11.73% |
Korea | $166,465 | $10,735.50 | -5.13% |
Malaysia | $51,888 | $3,545.40 | -13.45% |
Mexico | $107,779 | $824.50 | -12.34% |
Peru | $5,912 | $2.00 | -14.09% |
Philippines | $18,359 | $2,089.60 | -5.98% |
Poland | $33,267 | $498.70 | -11.03% |
Russia | $8,078 | -$306.00 | -6.28% |
Taiwan | $68,823 | $7,884.80 | -5.24% |
Thailand | $111,662 | $12,439.70 | -10.51% |
Turkey | $12,795 | -$127.60 | -17.62% |
Total | $2,707,399 | $537,950 | Average: -8.88% |
Source: Strategic Insight |