Mutual Fund Flows Show Continued Optimism

Despite uncertainty in the Middle East and North Africa, U.S. mutual fund net inflows in February gained $29 billion, according to Strategic Insight, an Asset International company.

U.S. mutual fund investors continued to flock to equities and bonds, adding about $29 billion in net new cash to U.S. stock and bond mutual funds in February 2011. An estimated $15 billion in net new cash went into U.S. equity funds in February 2011, which was down from the $21 billion in equity fund inflows in January, SI data showed. However, the total represents the best start to a year since January-February of 2007, when U.S. investors put a total of $25 billion into domestic stock funds.  

Flows into international and global equity funds dropped to roughly $6 billion in February from $12 billion in January – a relatively positive sign given that February was marked by the tumultuous end of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak’s reign on February 11 and the start of a mass uprising in Libya on February 17, SI said.  

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Taxable bond fund flows continued their positive streak in February, drawing $13 billion in net new flows, led by Global Bond, High-Yield, and Floating Rate funds. The search for yield buoyed bond fund demand, although at a slower pace that seen in 2010.   

“We see 2011 as a year for ongoing demand for selected bond mutual fund strategies,” said Avi Nachmany, SI’s Director of Research, in a press release. “Until global inflation and repeated hikes in U.S. interest rates impact fund shareholder behavior, investors’ appetite for income in a period of near-zero yields on money fund and bank deposit accounts remains insatiable.”   

Money-market funds saw net inflows of $13 billion in February. This followed net outflows of $77 billion in January, and was the first month of positive net new flows since November’s $25 billion in net inflows.  

DC Participants Followed Market in Q4 2010

Fourth quarter defined contribution (DC) participant transfer activity appeared to be driven by momentum market timing, according to the Callan DC Index.

Callan noted that small cap stock funds performed well during the quarter and also witnessed some of the heaviest inflows by participants, while weak performers such as fixed income and stable value experienced equally sizable outflows.  

Target-date funds (TDFs) remained popular within the Index, accounting for nearly 40% of inflows in the fourth quarter and with consistent inflows throughout the year and the history of the Index.   

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The Callan DC Index returned 7.14% in the fourth quarter. For the year, the Index gained 12.13%.  

The fourth quarter marks the first time in more than two years that total returns contributed as much to the Index’s asset growth as net flows.  

The Callan data showed flows were a mixed bag for the year. Domestic fixed income surprisingly experienced net inflows. On the other side of the ledger, domestic large cap equity (-9.59%), international equity (-5.91%) and stable value (-2.84%) all experienced outflows for the year.  

During 2010, the share of equity funds in the overall DC Index grew from 62.5% to 64.9%. This is still well below the Index’s all time high of 70.5%, reached at the end of 2006.  

Assets within the Index have grown at a respectable annual pace of 6.34% since its inception in early 2006. However, Callan noted that while the Index outpaced the average corporate DB plan for the quarter, since the Index’s inception, the average corporate DB plan has outperformed the Index by 1.61% annually.  

The Callan DC Index is an equally weighted index tracking the cash flows and performance of more than 70 plans, representing greater than 800,000 defined contribution participants and $80 billion in assets. The Index is updated quarterly and reflects 401(k) plans as well as other types of defined contribution plans.

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