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Academic scholar and adviser to the Georgetown Center for Retirement Initiatives shares his ideas for creating state-supported “individual DBs” to bring workplace retirement benefits to more private-sector workers.
Arun Muralidhar is the academic scholar adviser at the
Center for Retirement Initiatives at Georgetown University, adjunct professor
of finance at George Washington University, and founder of MCube Investment
Technologies and AlphaEngine Global Investment Solutions.
Given his expertise in the areas of workplace retirement benefits
coverage and investment markets, Muralidhar was asked to speak Friday, during a meeting
of the Connecticut Retirement Security Board. Before the meeting, he took some
time to explain to PLANADVISER the positions he would argue, most notably a
proposal for forming state-supported individual defined benefit (DB)-like investing
programs.
By way of background, Muralidhar noted he has been following
retirement security issues for much of his career and has had the benefit of
working with many skilled colleagues, including Nobel laureates and other
celebrated researchers. He says he has little doubt—and there is little doubt
among his esteemed peers—that a retirement security crisis is looming globally.
Without concerted action from the private sector and local and national governments, he says it’s unlikely the
crisis will be avoided.
“The pillars of retirement security are threatened because
of insufficient funding, improper investment decisions and the transferring of
risk to individuals who are least capable of bearing such risk,” he says.
Retirement planning was never easy, even in the context of
large, corporate-sponsored defined benefit plans, Muralidhar says, but in earlier
times much of the challenging decisionmaking was left for trained financial experts,
either working for investment providers, consulting firms or directly as
pension fund administrators. Now, the defined contribution (DC) system is being
called on to replace closing DBs, leaving wholly unprepared individuals
responsible for everything from picking a salary deferral to choosing
investments and, eventually, an appropriate withdrawal rate.
“Beyond this, there is a really apparent coverage problem for
many private-sector workers,” Muralidhar adds, citing studies that show as many
as half of all private-sector workers lack access to a workplace retirement
plan. He also points to funding issues for Social Security and the ever-expanding cost of medical care for both workers and retirees, heaping still more pressure
on individual decisionmakers.
NEXT: So, what is the
answer?
At the White House Conference on Aging, President Barack Obama
noted that, in every budget since taking office, he has put forth proposals to
provide access for 30 million Americans to workplace-based retirement savings
by requiring employers not currently offering a retirement plan to
automatically enroll their workers in an individual retirement account (IRA).
He pointed out that, in the absence of Congressional
action, states are leading the charge. Several have passed measures to
create a state-run plan for private-sector employees. However, the president
says states remain concerned about a lack of clarity regarding pre-emption by
the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA), so he has urged the U.S.
Department of Labor (DOL) to publish a proposed rule clarifying how states can move
forward, including with respect to requirements to automatically enroll
employees and for employers to offer coverage.
Taking all this together, Muralidhar says that encouraging momentum
is building for the type of concerted government action that will likely
be required to cut off a retirement security crisis in the U.S. Also important,
he says, people are realizing simplicity will have to be a big part of any
effective solution, given that untrained individuals will be called on to use
them. Not to mention the fact that people are already inundated with choices and are generally intimated by complex financial products.
“Continuing in this vein, I will be making the case that
capital markets are missing a very simple and basic financial instrument, what we
call a Forward Starting Bond or FSB, that can help institutional and retail
investors achieve their retirement objectives at lower risk than portfolios
created through a mix of traditional stocks and bonds,” he says.
Sounds a little too good to be true, perhaps, but Muralidhar
hastens to add that his solution is in fact not all that revolutionary. Details will
have to vary state by state, but in essence he is advocating for a bond that resembles a delayed
annuity that will be issued by the states/federal government and will
allow people “to create their own individual defined benefits.”
In a draft paper shared with PLANADVISER, Muralidhar lays
out the inner workings of an FSB.
The instrument operates on the assumption that the “typical
saver” sets aside resources at regular intervals today to receive a stream of
income post-retirement, generally until death. No affordable or effectively portable
instruments exist in the market today to match such a profile, he says, “and
hence all attempts to recreate this profile through traditional stocks and
bonds, or purchase such a profile through annuities, are suboptimal or
expensive, thereby threatening retirement security.”
NEXT: How does it
work?
Muralidhar says the FSB will provide “a much needed bridge
between the uses of funds and the asset markets.”
In terms of its basic design, he explains that the FSBs will be constructed
as a series of real bonds issued at different forward starting dates (five years,
10 years, 15 years, etc.). “The term of the bond will be linked to the life
expectancy in the economy post-retirement, and can be updated periodically.” There would be two possible versions of this instrument, Muralidhar
says, including a coupon-only version and a coupon bond with principal repayment.
“Under the coupon-only version, essentially, for an upfront
payment today to the issuer, the investor secures a guarantee of a fixed income
from this instrument for a period of 20 years,” he says. “The benefit of
the coupon-only version, by foregoing the principal payment, is that it can offer higher
coupons … Based on the desired income of an investor who plans to retire in two
years, five years, 10 years or 30 years, and based on the implied rate of
return [and therefore price of the FSB], the investor’s problem of how much to
save is greatly simplified. As long as there is sufficient liquidity in the
instrument, the investor’s decisions is now just focused on how much to save in
every year of his working life to achieve this target income [given the
uncertainty of interest rates].”
Muralidhar says, in principle, as long as the investor is not
income-constrained, his desired retirement income path can be hedged away under
this model at low cost and without other issues currently associated with
annuity investments.
“As more and more of these instruments are issued, the
entire yield curve will be filled out … thereby allowing individuals seeking to
retire on a particular date to purchase the relevant FSB,” he says. “Assuming
that these instruments have sufficient credit quality, they could be very
liquid—much like current nominal bonds—and will have a very transparent price
and could be traded at low cost.”
Again pointing to his background in the field, Muralidhar
says he understands his proposal would have to jump a staggering number of
hurdles before making a national impact, but he remains optimistic that the simplicity
of the solution will carry it forward. He also points out that, given the strength and competitive
nature of the investing and insurance industries, there are numerous potentially
willing suppliers of such bonds already completing the market.
“I believe this is a simple instrument to create, and it
achieves the goals of the average investor, thereby simplifying the investment
decision, reducing the risk of achieving a target retirement income, and
lowering the complexity and costs of investing assets—as it removes the need
for intermediaries and complex investment approaches,” he concludes.