According to State Street Global
Advisors (SSgA’s) latest ETF Snapshot report, 1,239 ETFs, with assets totaling
$1.4 trillion, were managed by 38 ETF managers as of January 31,
2013.
The S&P 500 returned 5.2%, while
the MSCI EAFE increased 5.3%. Commodities were positive, with the S&P GSCI up
4.4% and Gold increasing 0.4%. U.S. Bonds were negative, with the Barclays U.S.
Treasury Index and the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index dipping 0.7% and 0.8%,
respectively.
ETF flows topped $29 billion in
January. The International-Developed and International-Emerging categories both
had a strong month, attracting $5.4 billion and $6.9 billion in inflows,
respectively. The Dividend/Fundamental category posted $3.9
billion.
The top three managers in the U.S. ETF marketplace are still
BlackRock, State Street and Vanguard—collectively accounting for approximately
84% of the U.S.-listed ETF marketplace. The top three ETFs in terms of dollar
volume traded for the month were the SPDR S&P 500 [SPY], the iShares
Russell 2000 [IWM] and the PowerShares QQQ [QQQ].
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Gold is a diversifying tool in
investment portfolios because it moves the opposite direction of currency, Ed
Moy, chief strategist at Morgan Gold and former director of the U.S. Mint, told
PLANADVISER. If the dollar loses value with inflation, gold value
normally increases, he explained.
Moy said now is an optimal time to
invest in gold because of the country’s debt crisis. Moy and others devised a
gold price predictability model, studying several hundred correlations. They
found that since September 2008, gold prices correlate about 95% with how close
the U.S. comes to hitting the debt ceiling.
Investors can expect gold prices to
rise if the debt limit of $16.4 trillion is raised, he added. It is difficult
to predict how volatility could affect gold prices, but in individual
retirement accounts (IRAs), investors are not buying for quarterly gain anyway
and should instead be focused on the long-term outcomes, he said. “It’s a good
time to buy gold, but not if you’re looking for quarterly return,” he added.
John Hummel, president of AIS Group,
said he believes gold is in a multi-decade bull market, commencing relative
strength in 2002 when the U.S. dollar began to weaken.
Despite its advantages, gold has
been slow to take hold with investors for two reasons: stereotypes about gold
investors being “high-pressure” types who feed into hype; and the complicated
process of physical gold investments, Moy said.
“There’s kind of an
institutionalized prejudice in the United States against gold ownership, kind
of an academic prejudice,” Hummel said.
The “gold bug” stereotype, however,
seems to be diminishing, and companies are making gold investing more seamless
for the customer, Moy said. Typically when investing physical gold, the
customer must buy the gold, find a custodian for the account, find an
IRS-approved depository to store the gold, and transfer the gold to the
depository.
(Cont’d…)
Some companies like Morgan are
improving their systems to make it easier to invest in physical gold, Moy said.
Gold investors can now receive all necessary forms from self-directed IRA
services, and Morgan will transfer the gold to the depository. “So with that
success, there are more entities … who are getting into the market, and you’re
seeing a larger inflow of gold to IRAs right now,” he added.
In 401(k) plans, the option to
invest in gold depends on whether the plan sponsor wants to provide it, Hummel
said. It may be frustrating for an investor who would like the option to
diversify his portfolio with precious metals but does not have the option in a
401(k) plan, he said.
In order for gold to gain footing in
401(k) plans, participants will have to request it, he added. AIS Group offers
a mutual fund TAAP (tactical asset allocation portfolio) fund that Hummel said
is “excellent for 401(k)s and IRA rollovers.” TAAP invests in individual
stocks, long-term treasury bonds, gold and cash equivalents.
The TAAP strategy uses only physical
gold, gold ETFs or gold futures depending on account size. It does not use gold
mining stocks, although AIS uses them in other strategies.
Chris Blasi, president of Neptune
Global Bullion Exchange, said investors tend to distrust gold ETFs because they
would rather own it directly. Gold is one of the only assets investors can own
directly without a financial instrument between them, he added.
(Cont’d…)
It is possible for plan sponsors to
offer physical gold in 401(k) plans, he said, but there is no doubt it is
difficult because of the physical aspect. Blasi’s company has also streamlined
the process to make it easier to deposit gold.
Gold Bullion International (GBI) has
also made it easier for gold investing, with its recent launch of a physical
precious metals platform for registered investment advisers (RIAs). The online
platform, GBI Advisors (GBIA), enables independent advisers to buy, sell and
store physical precious metals on behalf of their clients. Bars and coins of
gold, platinum, silver and palladium can be stored in six global, insured
vaults (see “N.Y. Firm Rolls Out Precious Metals Platform”).
Moy said investors are safer buying
gold coins than bars because coins are backed by the U.S. Mint; bars are not
generally backed by the government. “That’s why coins are generally more
popular than gold bars,” he added.
Moy cautioned there are instances in
which it is not advisable to invest in gold: if the national debt is reduced,
if the dollar increased in value or if the economy is extremely strong.
However, these instances do not appear to be happening any time soon, he
concluded.