Corporate Funds Post Highest Returns Among Institutional Investors in Q2 2017

Corporate funds saw a quarterly gain of 3.13%, compared to a median return of 2.88% for all plan types, according to the Wilshire TUCS.

Institutional assets tracked by the Wilshire Trust Universe Comparison Service (Wilshire TUCS) saw a median return of 2.88% for all plan types in the second quarter and a median one-year gain of 11.31%.

Corporate funds saw a quarterly gain of 3.13% and a one-year return of 9.58%. Public funds’ quarterly and one-year returns were 2.9% and 12.41%, respectively, and foundations and endowments returned 2.78% and 11.70%, respectively. Taft-Hartley defined benefit (DB) plans saw a quarterly return of 2.65% and a one-year return of 11.57%, while Taft-Hartley health and welfare funds experienced quarterly and one-year returns of 1.70% and 6.35%, respectively.

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“This quarter marked the seventh consecutive positive quarter, the longest string of positive quarterly returns for all plan types since June 1998, which marked a string of 14 positive quarters in a row,” says Robert J. Waid, managing director, Wilshire Associates.

Wilshire TUCS returns were supported by continued strong performance across all major asset classes. The Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index returned 2.95% for the second quarter and 18.54% for the year ending June 30, while the MSCI AC World ex U.S. (Net) for international equities rose 5.78% in the second quarter and 20.45% for the year. The Wilshire Bond Index also gained 1.95% in the second quarter and 1.64% for the year.

In the second quarter and for the year ending June 30, larger public funds and foundations and endowments outperformed smaller ones. Large foundations and endowments continued to have significant exposure to alternatives, although the median exposure did decline to 37.58% in the second quarter.

All plan types with assets greater than $1 billion experienced median returns of 3.15% for the second quarter and 12.01% for the year ending June 30, compared to plans with assets less than $1 billion, which experienced median returns of 2.72% for the second quarter and 11.12% for the year.

Adviser Focus Shifts From Interest Rates to Equity Highs

With the equity markets riding high, more advisers are contemplating how to secure downside protection for their clients’ portfolios. 

Fidelity has published its latest Advisor Investment Pulse Survey, finding that retirement-focused financial advisers are squarely focused on boosting diversification and downside protection in client portfolios.

Given the machinations in Washington and state capitols across the U.S., tied to booming equity markets, it’s no surprise Fidelity finds “the government/economy” and “portfolio management” remained the top two areas of focus in Q2 2017. Additionally, the survey found that financial advisers have become increasingly concerned about market volatility and equity market level, ranked third and fourth, respectively.

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The previous edition of the adviser survey found interest rates ranked No. 3, dropping to ninth-most important in Q2. Fidelity says this is somewhat perplexing given the current rising rate environment and advisers’ focus on downside risk.

“With the stock market near record levels, advisers have become increasingly focused on making sure their clients’ portfolios are well diversified across the different asset classes, whether it’s equity or fixed income,” notes Robert Litle, head of intermediary sales, Fidelity Institutional Asset Management. “In this environment, we are seeing greater attention among advisers to protecting clients from any downside risk.”

Litle recommends, given the difficulty in predicting the direction and pace of interest rate changes with any certainty, that advisers should “consider different market and interest rate scenarios as they help investors stick to their long-term investment plans.” Simply put, interest rates “should remain top-of-mind for advisers, given the Federal Reserve’s forecasts for a gradual increase in interest rates.”

The Fidelity research points out that actively managed U.S. large-cap funds “have tended to outperform in months when interest rates were rising, and tended to underperform when rates were falling or flat … One reason could be that the average actively managed U.S. large-cap fund has historically held relatively more mid-cap exposure than its benchmark index.”

NEXT: Concerns about the downside 

Fidelity goes on to explain how, over the past few decades, mid-cap stocks with capitalizations of tens of billions down to $1 to $2 billion, have had higher dispersion of returns than mega-caps: “Higher dispersion in a group of stocks, which measures the difference of all the individual stock returns from the overall index, suggests potentially greater opportunities for active managers to leverage their stock selection skills, buy winners, avoid losers and thus earn higher excess returns.”

Fidelity’s research shows that concerns about the equity market levels and possible downside risk are leading many advisers to look for “opportunities to generate yield and income,” rising from No. 11 to No. 6 in the rankings from Q1 to Q2.

“As they do so, advisers should consider a possible valuation dynamic in the current market, which suggests another potential benefit for actively managed funds,” Fidelity suggests.

As the adviser survey report lays out, in recent years, the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds has become comparable to the dividend yield of U.S. large-cap stocks, “and many income-seeking investors have replaced bonds with high-dividend stocks in their portfolios.”

“Since high-dividend stocks tend to be in defensive market sectors like consumer staples, real estate, telecommunication services and utilities, the increased demand has inflated the prices of stocks in defensive sectors, pushing their price-to-earnings ratios to a 20-year high, relative to the rest of the market,” Fidelity explains. “However, a rise in Treasury bond yields could lead to a decrease in demand, resulting in lower P/E ratios and deflated returns. Many actively managed funds try to avoid overweighting stocks that are priced much higher than typical valuations and in some cases maintain greater exposure to non-defensive sectors, which have tended to beat the index when rates rise.”

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