Advisers Project Political Climate to be Greatest Source of Volatility

Eaton Vance has updated its Adviser Top-of-Mind Index, revealing advisers' biggest concerns as well as potential solutions.

Market volatility remains a top concern for advisers, according to the latest Adviser Top-of-Mind Index by Eaton Vance. 

Although managing market volatility fell to 110.5 on the index this quarter, it’s still the top worry for advisers. However, the current score falls well below the peak of 129.7 during the third quarter of 2016.

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According to the index, 72% of advisers believe the U.S. political environment will be the biggest source of market volatility for the remainder of the year. Meanwhile, 64% expect U.S. market volatility to increase in the next six months, 64% are recommending clients maintain current portfolio allocations, and 46% are advising clients to hold more cash now than they were one year ago.

“Adviser and client concerns dropped this quarter as markets rallied and volatility subsided,” explains John Moninger, managing director of retail sales at Eaton Vance Distributors. “However, there is an underlying feeling of wariness as we head into September, driven by political uncertainty, geopolitical issues and the pace of U.S. economic growth.”

Fifty-three percent (53%) of advisers feel their clients are still motivated by fear more than greed. This marks a significant shift from Q3 2016 when 82% said fear was their clients’ top motivator. Advisers also suggested a measured approach to the markets. Eighty-two percent (82%) are scaling back client return expectations as the bull market approaches its ninth year.

“Advisers play a critical role in managing client expectations and easing their concerns,” Moninger says. “The best advisers are clearly articulating established financial plans and highlighting the benefits of setting long-term investment goals.”

While adviser focus on generating income dropped, 43% still feel it has increased in importance over the past year and 74% plan to alter their approaches to generating income if interest rates rise. However, the study pointed to some income-generating solutions advisers prefer. The top selected by 56% of advisers was dividend-yielding equity funds followed by municipal bond funds (32%) and high-yield funds (32%).

“Advisers are anticipating and planning for the next set of challenges their clients might face,” Moninger adds. “In a time of uneven global growth and political uncertainty, it’s critical for advisers to respond in a thoughtful, rational way that allows investors to take advantage of undervalued opportunities that can potentially lead to long-term rewards.”

Advisers are also keeping a sharp eye on tax reform. Seventy-six percent of advisers have had a recent conversation about tax reform implications for client portfolios. Most advisers (84%) expect potential tax changes to positively affect clients, although not for some time. The majority (65%) believe substantial tax reform is one or two years away and are not currently advising clients to make significant changes.

Moreover, the study shows that socially responsible investing is playing an increasing role in adviser practices. Seventy-eight percent (78%) report responsible investing is an important theme in their practice. When asked what areas within responsible investing trigger the most client interest, advisers indicate clean energy (54%), followed by sustainability (44%) and climate change (41%). Human rights (33%), water issues (26%) and consumer protection (20%) rank lower on the list of client priorities.

LPL Acquisition Underscores Need for Scale and Flexibility

At a time when broker/dealer margins are being tightly squeezed, the company estimates the transaction can generate $75 million to $100 million of “EBITDA accretion.”

Investment advisory and independent broker/dealer LPL Financial LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of LPL Financial Holdings Inc., has acquired the independent broker/dealer network of National Planning Holdings (NPH).

According to an investor presentation shared by the firm, the transaction is structured as an asset purchase with an initial price of $325 million, but LPL “will also make a contingent payment between $0 and $123 million in the first half of 2018, which will be based on the level of NPH’s business that onboards onto LPL’s platform.”

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These estimates are “primarily dependent on the level of onboarding of NPH client assets, and they also include amortization expense from onboarding assistance loans to NPH advisers.” And naturally the results are also contingent on the performance of the markets and client portfolios during the time of the ownership transition. 

“The demand for financial advice continues to grow, and the independent model is the fastest growing part of the industry,” says Dan Arnold, LPL Financial president and CEO. “This transaction adds to our scale, which we can leverage to provide LPL and NPH advisers with the capabilities they need, and the service they expect, at a compelling price.”

This move by LPL comes some five years after NPH signaled it would implement a greater focus on the employer-sponsored retirement plan advisory industry with the hire of Frank Hayn as vice president of retirement plans. Under Hayn’s direction, the NPH network has expanded its service offerings for advisers seeking to develop retirement plan and 401(k) business and has established support programs that have helped NPH representatives address evolving compliance requirements as they work with plan sponsors.

The transaction was signed and closed on August 15 following receipt of regulatory approval. Under the transaction structure, LPL will onboard NPH advisers and client assets onto its platform rather than integrating NPH’s operations, although NPH “will maintain its operations during the onboarding period.” LPL plans to onboard NPH advisers in two waves that it anticipates completing by the end of the first quarter of 2018.

Digging into the investor presentation shared by LPL, two clear objectives for LPL in the acquisition are to drive organic asset and gross profit growth and to increase adviser recruiting, productivity, and retention. Beyond this, LPL says it expects to “leverage scale to expand gross profit” and “capture cash sweep upside from rising rates.”

The document shows estimated onboarding costs of $40 to $60 million, “mostly complete by mid-2018.” Financing includes cash available for corporate use and may include additional debt.

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