Strategic Beta ETFs: Active or Passive?

Nearly two-thirds of ETF issuers claim to position strategic beta as a replacement for passive ETFs, but nearly two-thirds of advisers who are using strategic beta report replacing active mutual funds.

The latest Cerulli Associates reporting speaks of a fundamental “misalignment between ETF issuers and advisers on the use and implementation of strategic beta.”

Researchers warn that financial advisers’ implementation of strategic beta “differs from how issuers are advocating advisers use the products.”

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“Adviser use of strategic beta seems to be more focused on the notion of mitigating risk versus generating alpha,” states Jennifer Muzerall, associate director at Cerulli. “Just more than 60% of issuers assert they are positioning strategic beta to generate alpha, whereas the most-cited reason why advisers are using strategic beta is for downside risk protection.”

Strategic beta can achieve both investment objectives, but issuers’ messaging may not be resonating with advisers, Muzerall explains.

“Our findings from our latest ETF report reveal a huge education gap that issuers need to address,” continues Muzerall. “Issuers need to continue to develop their message to help advisers understand the benefits and uses of strategic beta. Cerulli’s research indicates that ETF issuers have a long way to go to increase strategic beta adoption among advisers.”

Much of the Cerulli analysis is written for the asset manager audience, but it shows how advisers have “turned to using ETFs as ‘building blocks’ within their portfolios and are attempting to generate alpha at the asset allocation level.” In other words, they are using ETFs for their low-cost beta exposure.

“Though performance has historically not been the biggest concern for advisers, it actually ranks highest among the attributes advisers consider when selecting an ETF,” Cerulli finds. “As ETFs continue to move away from being passive beta exposures, and more strategic beta and actively managed ETFs come to market, performance will become a bigger focus for advisers and issuers alike.”

Cerulli further reports how advisers who “are heavy ETF users and rely on investment models” are not directly making the underlying investment decisions: “Examples of these types of advisers would be wirehouse advisers who are using home-office ETF investment models.” This arrangement puts the emphasis on home-office decisionmakers, Cerulli explains.

Among advisers using ETFs, 57% say their usage rates are “always influenced by their own investment decisions,” while 41% of advisers are relying on “some sort of outside influence for their ETF use, whether it be their firms’ ETF model portfolios or firms’ recommended lists.”

“As more advisers eventually move to model structures to increase their efficiency, ETF issuers that had built out relationships with home-office broker/dealer teams for early product approval will be the beneficiaries,” Cerulli concludes.

These finding are taken from the report, “U.S. Exchange-Traded Fund Markets 2017: Differentiating Strategies for Sustained Growth.” Information about obtaining Cerulli research is available here

Fund Performance Not Impacted by Management Change

Despite outflows following high-profile management changes, Morningstar finds that such a flux has no impact on fund performance. 

Management changes have no effect on fund performance, according to research by Morningstar. The firm says the outflow typically associated with management change is an investor flaw rather than a reflection of the fund’s management style and underlining principles.

Morningstar points out that management changes rarely result in changes to the fundamentals of the fund and how it is actually run. The firm embarked on its latest research in following the “catastrophic outflows” associated with “highly publicized management changes—most notably, Bill Gross of PIMCO or Greg Serrurier of Dodge & Cox.”

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Morningstar urges investors to ask themselves a series of questions following major management changes. These include asking whether the fund is truly an outlier in the sense where the fund is truly run by an individual whose strategies and insight can’t be replicated. Morningstar finds this is rarely the case and notes that today more than ever before, fund management is essentially a team-oriented science.

In addition, investors should ask themselves about the tax implications of the fund and determine whether selling would leave them responsible for an unnecessary tax bill. The fund’s expenses also need to be put under a microscope. If they increase as a result of management change, Morningstar suggests pulling out of the fund may be justified.

In most cases, however, management change leads to business as usual. Morningstar finds “there is zero relationship between a management change and future returns over the next month up to the next three years. Furthermore, this holds true for all different types of management changes. Gross excess performance does not depend on the fund’s alpha, size, or industry experience at the time of management change.”

Moreover, management change isn’t necessarily a major shift as some investors may surmise.

The firm notes that “Since January 2003, in the U.S. actively managed equity and fixed-income space, an average of 244 funds each month undergo some form of a manager change, whether new managers are added or tenured managers are removed. While this accounts for less than 1% of fund offerings, they represent on average $220 billion in assets under management. Despite the magnitude of this turmoil, these facts go underreported relative to other, singular, high-profile management changes.”

Taking this into consideration, Morningstar asks whether the management changes at name-brand funds warrant the attention they get. The firm suggests investors avoid knee-jerk reactions and take a closer look at what, if anything, is changing in the fundamentals of the fund.

Morningstar concluded, “No matter which way we sliced the data, we found statistically no relationship between future performance and adding or removing a single manager or an entire team. This is shown in two ways. First, the models r-squared is effectively 0% … Second, even if variables are statistically significant, the economic significance is negligible. For example, a management change happening in the past seven to 12 months at a fund with alpha above the category median increases the fund’s gross excess return by 0.1 basis points over the next 12 months. A 0.1 basis point increase is hardly an impact.” 

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